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	<title>Comments on: NutriSystem Inc. (NTRI) and DehTrader</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.uglychart.com/2006/09/05/nutrisystem-inc-ntri-and-dehtrader/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.uglychart.com/2006/09/05/nutrisystem-inc-ntri-and-dehtrader/</link>
	<description>Beauty is in the eye of the shareholder</description>
	<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 04:50:14 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>By: Zoomie</title>
		<link>http://www.uglychart.com/2006/09/05/nutrisystem-inc-ntri-and-dehtrader/#comment-1410</link>
		<dc:creator>Zoomie</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Sep 2006 18:33:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.uglychart.com/2006/09/05/nutrisystem-inc-ntri-and-dehtrader/#comment-1410</guid>
		<description>"because a trader can bet it all on a coin toss and make %100 - they may have made 100%, but they also risked 100%."

Exactly!!  I have a friend who trades and told me he made $4000 in one day.  I said great, but how much did you risk?  If he risked $1,000,000, I would dare to say it wasn't a very good trade.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;because a trader can bet it all on a coin toss and make %100 - they may have made 100%, but they also risked 100%.&#8221;</p>
<p>Exactly!!  I have a friend who trades and told me he made $4000 in one day.  I said great, but how much did you risk?  If he risked $1,000,000, I would dare to say it wasn&#8217;t a very good trade.</p>
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		<title>By: Zoomie</title>
		<link>http://www.uglychart.com/2006/09/05/nutrisystem-inc-ntri-and-dehtrader/#comment-1409</link>
		<dc:creator>Zoomie</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Sep 2006 18:29:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.uglychart.com/2006/09/05/nutrisystem-inc-ntri-and-dehtrader/#comment-1409</guid>
		<description>I have started to track my trading progress with "R".  I also have moved to Trader Mike's style and pay close attention to market internals to guide me on how much the market is going to go in my direction.  I have had success when I have allowed the market to give me what she wants.  Some days she is stingy, and I tighten my stops, and/or take quick profits.  Other days she is generous, and trends perfectly.  When I expect a paycheck from the market, my trading suffers.  Tracking "R" helps me disassociate from the money, and trade the charts.  Thanks for your site Ugly, I started to meditate today!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I have started to track my trading progress with &#8220;R&#8221;.  I also have moved to Trader Mike&#8217;s style and pay close attention to market internals to guide me on how much the market is going to go in my direction.  I have had success when I have allowed the market to give me what she wants.  Some days she is stingy, and I tighten my stops, and/or take quick profits.  Other days she is generous, and trends perfectly.  When I expect a paycheck from the market, my trading suffers.  Tracking &#8220;R&#8221; helps me disassociate from the money, and trade the charts.  Thanks for your site Ugly, I started to meditate today!</p>
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		<title>By: Richard</title>
		<link>http://www.uglychart.com/2006/09/05/nutrisystem-inc-ntri-and-dehtrader/#comment-1408</link>
		<dc:creator>Richard</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Sep 2006 17:22:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.uglychart.com/2006/09/05/nutrisystem-inc-ntri-and-dehtrader/#comment-1408</guid>
		<description>@Paul:  the R values are not subjective in any way.  I don't know why people say this.  I wish someone would explain that to me.  It's not like one person says "mauve" and another says "purple".  It's the actual amount of money they risked on the trade.  It could not be more concrete or objective.

Let's look at your example.... the fact is, the guy that made 2 R _was_ more successful.  I cannot stress this enough.   If you assume they were risking the same amount (let's say 2% of their account), the 2R trader made 4% on a 30 cent gain, while the 1R trader made 2% on a 50 cent gain.

Is the 'subjective R' crowd  assuming the two example traders traded the same amount of shares?  That's not comparing apples to apples anymore, since now the two traders are risking vastly different amounts of money (relative to their account size).   But, EVEN SO, the 2R trader STILL comes out ahead in the long run.  To prove this to yourself, think about the same example, only it's a losing trade.  One trader loses 15 cents, and the other lost 50.  Repeat the experiment assuming a typical 40 to 50% win rate, and the 50 cent trader will be serving the 15 cent trader fries at the local mcdonald's before too long.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Paul:  the R values are not subjective in any way.  I don&#8217;t know why people say this.  I wish someone would explain that to me.  It&#8217;s not like one person says &#8220;mauve&#8221; and another says &#8220;purple&#8221;.  It&#8217;s the actual amount of money they risked on the trade.  It could not be more concrete or objective.</p>
<p>Let&#8217;s look at your example&#8230;. the fact is, the guy that made 2 R _was_ more successful.  I cannot stress this enough.   If you assume they were risking the same amount (let&#8217;s say 2% of their account), the 2R trader made 4% on a 30 cent gain, while the 1R trader made 2% on a 50 cent gain.</p>
<p>Is the &#8217;subjective R&#8217; crowd  assuming the two example traders traded the same amount of shares?  That&#8217;s not comparing apples to apples anymore, since now the two traders are risking vastly different amounts of money (relative to their account size).   But, EVEN SO, the 2R trader STILL comes out ahead in the long run.  To prove this to yourself, think about the same example, only it&#8217;s a losing trade.  One trader loses 15 cents, and the other lost 50.  Repeat the experiment assuming a typical 40 to 50% win rate, and the 50 cent trader will be serving the 15 cent trader fries at the local mcdonald&#8217;s before too long.</p>
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		<title>By: Paul Singh</title>
		<link>http://www.uglychart.com/2006/09/05/nutrisystem-inc-ntri-and-dehtrader/#comment-1406</link>
		<dc:creator>Paul Singh</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Sep 2006 15:03:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.uglychart.com/2006/09/05/nutrisystem-inc-ntri-and-dehtrader/#comment-1406</guid>
		<description>I would like to add that I do think keeping track of risk is important, and a trade should *never* be entered without at least a 1:1 ratio (with most being higher than that).  I just think ultimately you must look at percentage/price gains to the account as the true measure.  A 100+ R value gain in a year means nothing if your not making a decent sized percentage gain.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I would like to add that I do think keeping track of risk is important, and a trade should *never* be entered without at least a 1:1 ratio (with most being higher than that).  I just think ultimately you must look at percentage/price gains to the account as the true measure.  A 100+ R value gain in a year means nothing if your not making a decent sized percentage gain.</p>
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		<title>By: Paul Singh</title>
		<link>http://www.uglychart.com/2006/09/05/nutrisystem-inc-ntri-and-dehtrader/#comment-1404</link>
		<dc:creator>Paul Singh</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Sep 2006 14:45:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.uglychart.com/2006/09/05/nutrisystem-inc-ntri-and-dehtrader/#comment-1404</guid>
		<description>I believe dollar values are more important than R value.  I agree that the actual $ value is meaningless.  However, R values are subjective and don't give you a true idea on how successful the trade was.  If you defined your risk at 15 cents and made 30 cents on the trade, while another person made 50 cents but decided his risk would be 50 cents, R values would say the guy who made 30 cents was more successful.  I have a problem with that.  It could very well be that the guy who only risked 15 cents is playing it too safe and his 2R gain was a bad trade.  

I understand that many people don't like to post the size and dollar values of their accounts. Posting percentages works just as well.  

Paul</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I believe dollar values are more important than R value.  I agree that the actual $ value is meaningless.  However, R values are subjective and don&#8217;t give you a true idea on how successful the trade was.  If you defined your risk at 15 cents and made 30 cents on the trade, while another person made 50 cents but decided his risk would be 50 cents, R values would say the guy who made 30 cents was more successful.  I have a problem with that.  It could very well be that the guy who only risked 15 cents is playing it too safe and his 2R gain was a bad trade.  </p>
<p>I understand that many people don&#8217;t like to post the size and dollar values of their accounts. Posting percentages works just as well.  </p>
<p>Paul</p>
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		<title>By: John</title>
		<link>http://www.uglychart.com/2006/09/05/nutrisystem-inc-ntri-and-dehtrader/#comment-1402</link>
		<dc:creator>John</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Sep 2006 13:13:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.uglychart.com/2006/09/05/nutrisystem-inc-ntri-and-dehtrader/#comment-1402</guid>
		<description>I trade a very small account too.  However, if someone is trading a large account, I don't think they would want that personal info broadcast over the net.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I trade a very small account too.  However, if someone is trading a large account, I don&#8217;t think they would want that personal info broadcast over the net.</p>
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		<title>By: Jamie</title>
		<link>http://www.uglychart.com/2006/09/05/nutrisystem-inc-ntri-and-dehtrader/#comment-1396</link>
		<dc:creator>Jamie</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Sep 2006 11:11:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.uglychart.com/2006/09/05/nutrisystem-inc-ntri-and-dehtrader/#comment-1396</guid>
		<description>Good post and enlightening debate.  So far I've been measuring my success with dollars only, but I'm going to add the R (now that I understand it) and the win/loss ratio.

Thanks!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Good post and enlightening debate.  So far I&#8217;ve been measuring my success with dollars only, but I&#8217;m going to add the R (now that I understand it) and the win/loss ratio.</p>
<p>Thanks!</p>
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		<title>By: Rx</title>
		<link>http://www.uglychart.com/2006/09/05/nutrisystem-inc-ntri-and-dehtrader/#comment-1393</link>
		<dc:creator>Rx</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Sep 2006 04:34:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.uglychart.com/2006/09/05/nutrisystem-inc-ntri-and-dehtrader/#comment-1393</guid>
		<description>Trading performance and trading success is best measured by

- win % (winning trades vs. losing trades)
- actual W/L ratio
- biggest loser vs biggest winner
- expectancy (a derivative of the first two qualities)

And these qualities should be measured over a big chunk of trades - IMO, 30 trades are a good start, but the more trades, the more reliable these results are, when focusing on measuring consistent success. And that's what successful trading is about - consistency and at the most, controlling risk (and losses) - the fact that you just made 50% on one trade means nothing in terms of skillful trading. So talking and thinking in terms of R-multiple when you discuss about profits is an excellent approach - that by itself makes you focus on risk and money management - the actual "grail" to successful trading.  When I read other people's trading articles, sometimes it's good to know the number of shares in the position though - the actual dollar amount gained/lost can be calculated from there. The share amount sometimes illustrates even better, how effective it is to enter off a low-risk zone compared to a higher-risk zone and it is very educational to see that in some situations one is able to purchase 2000 shares and in riskier situations maybe 500 shares while on both trades, he risks an equal amout basically. 

Good trading.

Rx</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Trading performance and trading success is best measured by</p>
<p>- win % (winning trades vs. losing trades)<br />
- actual W/L ratio<br />
- biggest loser vs biggest winner<br />
- expectancy (a derivative of the first two qualities)</p>
<p>And these qualities should be measured over a big chunk of trades - IMO, 30 trades are a good start, but the more trades, the more reliable these results are, when focusing on measuring consistent success. And that&#8217;s what successful trading is about - consistency and at the most, controlling risk (and losses) - the fact that you just made 50% on one trade means nothing in terms of skillful trading. So talking and thinking in terms of R-multiple when you discuss about profits is an excellent approach - that by itself makes you focus on risk and money management - the actual &#8220;grail&#8221; to successful trading.  When I read other people&#8217;s trading articles, sometimes it&#8217;s good to know the number of shares in the position though - the actual dollar amount gained/lost can be calculated from there. The share amount sometimes illustrates even better, how effective it is to enter off a low-risk zone compared to a higher-risk zone and it is very educational to see that in some situations one is able to purchase 2000 shares and in riskier situations maybe 500 shares while on both trades, he risks an equal amout basically. </p>
<p>Good trading.</p>
<p>Rx</p>
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		<title>By: Richard</title>
		<link>http://www.uglychart.com/2006/09/05/nutrisystem-inc-ntri-and-dehtrader/#comment-1391</link>
		<dc:creator>Richard</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Sep 2006 04:00:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.uglychart.com/2006/09/05/nutrisystem-inc-ntri-and-dehtrader/#comment-1391</guid>
		<description>Every now and then, I get pressure from someone to put out $ results.  I gave my account size in my StockTickr interview, which I think is revealing more than enough. 

Like you said, the $ value is meaningless in terms of trading performance.  It's meaningful in the sense that it's dollars that pay my electric bill, but that's about it.  If I make more money this month, that doesn't mean I'm trading better.  If I make more money than you, that doesn't mean I'm a better trader than you.  So, I just resist the peer pressure, and stick with R.  Some people say, post 'em both, then, but I just know people will stare at the $ and miss the point.  In a couple years I'll just say "I havent had a job in two and a half years... I must be making _some_ money!"</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Every now and then, I get pressure from someone to put out $ results.  I gave my account size in my StockTickr interview, which I think is revealing more than enough. </p>
<p>Like you said, the $ value is meaningless in terms of trading performance.  It&#8217;s meaningful in the sense that it&#8217;s dollars that pay my electric bill, but that&#8217;s about it.  If I make more money this month, that doesn&#8217;t mean I&#8217;m trading better.  If I make more money than you, that doesn&#8217;t mean I&#8217;m a better trader than you.  So, I just resist the peer pressure, and stick with R.  Some people say, post &#8216;em both, then, but I just know people will stare at the $ and miss the point.  In a couple years I&#8217;ll just say &#8220;I havent had a job in two and a half years&#8230; I must be making _some_ money!&#8221;</p>
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		<title>By: ugly</title>
		<link>http://www.uglychart.com/2006/09/05/nutrisystem-inc-ntri-and-dehtrader/#comment-1389</link>
		<dc:creator>ugly</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Sep 2006 00:38:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.uglychart.com/2006/09/05/nutrisystem-inc-ntri-and-dehtrader/#comment-1389</guid>
		<description>thanks glenn</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>thanks glenn</p>
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